6.6

Tracking Commodity Futures and Options Prices

This sub‑topic explains how market participants monitor live and settlement prices of commodity futures and options, why accurate price tracking is vital for risk management, and how SEBI expects disclosures. Mastery helps you answer price‑related questions in the NISM Series XVI exam.

Learning Objectives

  • 1Identify the primary sources of commodity price data in India
  • 2Explain the mark‑to‑market (MTM) calculation for futures and options
  • 3Distinguish between real‑time, end‑of‑day and settlement prices
  • 4Apply price‑tracking concepts to typical exam scenarios

Overview of Price Tracking

Commodity futures and options are quoted on recognised exchanges such as MCX and NCDEX. Each contract has a quoted price that changes every second during market hours, reflecting supply‑demand dynamics and news flow.

For exam purposes, SEBI differentiates between the last traded price (LTP), the closing price, and the settlement price. The LTP is the most recent transaction price, while the closing price is the price at the end of the trading session. The settlement price, published after the market closes, is used for MTM and margin calculations.

Understanding these definitions prevents common mistakes, such as using the LTP for margin computation. Questions often ask which price is used for daily profit‑and‑loss calculations; the correct answer is the settlement price.

ℹ️Exam Trap – LTP vs Settlement Price

Students frequently pick the last traded price for MTM. Remember: SEBI mandates the official settlement price for daily profit‑and‑loss and margin adjustments.

Sources of Price Data and Regulatory Guidance

Primary price feeds come from the exchange’s market data segment, accessible via the exchange website, authorized data vendors (e.g., NSE‑IFSC), and SEBI‑approved aggregators. These sources publish real‑time quotes, depth of market, and daily settlement values.

SEBI’s Circular on "Price Disclosure for Commodity Derivatives" requires brokers to provide clients with at least the settlement price and the daily high‑low range. Failure to do so can lead to regulatory action, making this a high‑weight topic in the exam.

In practice, traders also rely on Bloomberg, Reuters, and mobile apps such as MCX‑Trader for instantaneous updates. The key is to verify that the platform displays the official settlement price, not a delayed or simulated quote.

Mark‑to‑Market (MTM) Mechanism

MTM is the daily re‑valuation of open positions using the settlement price. It ensures that gains and losses are realised each day, preventing the build‑up of large un‑settled exposures.

For a futures contract, the MTM profit or loss equals the price difference between today’s settlement and yesterday’s settlement, multiplied by the contract size and the number of contracts held. The same principle applies to options, but the premium is used as the price basis.

Exam questions may present a table of settlement prices and ask you to compute the cumulative MTM over several days. Remember to reset the base price each day to the new settlement price.

Formula: Mark‑to‑Market (MTM) Profit/Loss
(CcloseCopen)×Q×N(C_{close} - C_{open}) \times Q \times N

Where:

C_{close}= Settlement price at the end of the current trading day (Rs per unit)
C_{open}= Settlement price at the end of the previous trading day (Rs per unit)
Q= Contract size (units per contract, e.g., kilograms for wheat)
N= Number of contracts held (positive for long, negative for short)

Worked Example

Given C_{open}=1500, C_{close}=1525, Q=1000 kg, N=2: Step 1: Difference = 1525 - 1500 = 25 Rs/kg Step 2: MTM = 25 \times 1000 \times 2 = 50,000 Rs Verification: (1525 - 1500) \times 1000 \times 2 = 50000.

Real‑time vs End‑of‑Day Prices

Real‑time prices update with each trade and are essential for intra‑day risk monitoring. However, they can be volatile and may not reflect the price used for official margin calls.

End‑of‑day (EOD) prices, typically the closing price, are used for daily P&L statements and for calculating the next day’s MTM. The EOD price is less prone to momentary spikes and is the figure quoted in most exam scenarios.

When answering questions, check the wording: "last traded price" signals real‑time, whereas "settlement price" or "closing price" signals the figure for MTM and margin purposes.

ℹ️Tick Size Reminder

Each commodity has a minimum price movement called the tick size (e.g., Rs 0.05 for gold). Mis‑reading tick size leads to incorrect profit calculations.

Tracking Options Prices

Option prices consist of intrinsic value plus time value. The intrinsic component is the difference between the underlying futures price and the strike price (for calls) or vice‑versa (for puts). Time value reflects volatility, time to expiry, and interest rates.

SEBI requires brokers to display the option premium alongside the underlying futures price. The premium is the price used for MTM, not the underlying futures price itself.

Exam items often ask you to compute the option’s MTM using the change in premium. Remember to treat the premium as the price variable in the MTM formula, while the underlying price is only relevant for intrinsic value calculations.

Key Differences in Price Tracking – Futures vs Options

AspectFuturesOptions
Price Basis for MTMSettlement price of the futures contractOption premium (settlement)
Intrinsic ValueN/A (contract is a forward agreement)Strike‑price difference if in‑the‑money
Time ValueN/APremium component beyond intrinsic value
Margin ImpactDaily MTM affects initial and variation marginPremium change affects margin; also affected by Greeks
Risk ProfileLinear with price movementNon‑linear; limited loss for buyers

Price Boards & Mobile Apps

Most Indian exchanges operate a live price board on their websites, showing LTP, high, low, and volume for each contract. These boards refresh every few seconds during market hours.

Mobile applications such as "MCX‑Trader" and "NCDEX‑App" push real‑time alerts, enable users to set price thresholds, and display the official settlement price after market close. They are exam‑relevant because SEBI mandates that brokers provide clients with timely price information via electronic means.

When using an app, verify that the displayed price is tagged as "settlement" for MTM calculations. Some apps also show the "indicative" price, which should not be used for official reporting.

Sample Wheat Futures Settlement Prices (Rs per quintal)

Example: NISM‑Style MTM Calculation Scenario

Scenario

Rohit holds 3 long wheat futures contracts, each with a contract size of 1,000 kg. The settlement price on Monday is Rs 2,100 per quintal and on Tuesday it is Rs 2,125 per quintal. He wants to know his MTM profit for Tuesday.

Solution

Step 1: Compute price difference = 2,125 - 2,100 = 25 Rs/quintal. Step 2: Multiply by contract size = 25 × 1,000 = 25,000 Rs per contract. Step 3: Multiply by number of contracts = 25,000 × 3 = 75,000 Rs. Rohit’s MTL profit for Tuesday is Rs 75,000.

Conclusion

The calculation uses the settlement price difference, confirming that MTM profit is based on official daily settlement values, not the intraday last traded price.

Advanced Tools for Price Tracking

Professional traders often subscribe to Bloomberg Terminal or Reuters Eikon, which provide consolidated real‑time price feeds, historical charts, and analytics such as implied volatility for options. These platforms also flag price anomalies that may affect MTM.

Algorithmic trading desks use Application Programming Interfaces (APIs) from MCX to fetch settlement prices directly into risk‑management systems. The API returns the official settlement price in a structured format, eliminating manual entry errors.

For the exam, remember that while advanced tools are optional, the underlying principle remains the same: always base MTM and margin calculations on the official settlement price supplied by the exchange or its authorized data vendor.

ℹ️Common Mistake – Using Settlement Price for Options Intrinsic Value

Students sometimes subtract the strike from the settlement price of the underlying futures to get option MTM. The correct base is the option premium, not the underlying settlement price.

Exam Tips Summary

Review the definitions of LTP, closing price, and settlement price; the exam frequently tests your ability to pick the correct one for MTM. Memorise the MTM formula and the variables it uses.

When a question provides a price series, identify whether it is real‑time or settlement. Use settlement prices for any profit‑and‑loss or margin‑related computation.

Remember the tick size for each commodity, as it affects the minimum profit or loss you can record. Also, be aware that option MTM uses the premium, not the underlying futures price.

Exam Takeaways

  • Settlement price is the only price used for daily MTM and margin calculations.
  • MTM profit/loss = (Current settlement – Previous settlement) × Contract size × Number of contracts.
  • Option MTM uses the change in option premium; intrinsic value is separate.
  • Real‑time LTP is useful for trading decisions but not for official MTM reporting.
  • Always verify tick size and ensure price data comes from SEBI‑approved sources.

Practice Questions

8 questions on Tracking Commodity Futures and Options Prices

1

Which of the following best describes the settlement price for commodity futures and options?

2

Which of the following are primary sources of commodity price data in India as mentioned in the material?

3

If a trader uses the last traded price (LTP) instead of the settlement price for daily MTM calculation, which regulatory expectation is violated?

4

A futures contract has C_{open}=1500 Rs, C_{close}=1525 Rs, contract size=1000 kg and the trader holds 2 contracts. What is the MTM profit for the day?

5

Rohit holds 3 long wheat futures contracts, each of size 1,000 kg. Settlement prices are Day1 = 2100, Day2 = 2125, Day3 = 2110, Day4 = 2135, Day5 = 2150 Rs per quintal. What is his cumulative MTM profit from Day1 to Day5?

6

For option contracts, which price component is used in the MTM calculation?

7

What is the term for the minimum price movement of a commodity, and why is it important for profit calculations?

8

According to SEBI’s circular on price disclosure for commodity derivatives, brokers must provide clients with which of the following?

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