3.9

Uses of futures

This sub‑topic explains the various ways futures contracts are used by market participants in India. Understanding these uses is essential for answering scenario‑based questions in the NISM Series VIII exam. The content links the concept to hedging, speculation and arbitrage, and highlights regulatory nuances.

Learning Objectives

  • 1Identify the three primary purposes of trading futures.
  • 2Explain how futures are employed for hedging, speculation and arbitrage.
  • 3Interpret the profit‑loss payoff formula for a futures contract.
  • 4Apply the concepts to typical Indian market situations.

Overview of Futures

Futures contracts are standardized agreements to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price on a future date. Because they are traded on exchanges such as NSE and BSE, they enjoy high liquidity, transparent pricing and daily mark‑to‑market settlement as mandated by SEBI.

The standardisation means each contract has a fixed lot size, expiry cycle and tick size. For equity index futures, the lot size is set by the exchange (e.g., 75 shares for NIFTY), which simplifies margin calculations and risk monitoring for participants.

For the NISM exam, you must recognise that futures are not merely speculative tools; they serve three core functions that shape market dynamics and risk‑management strategies.

Major Uses of Futures

The first and most widely taught use is hedging. Commercial investors, portfolio managers and exporters use futures to lock in prices and protect against adverse movements in the underlying asset, thereby stabilising cash flows.

The second use is speculation. Individual traders and proprietary desks take directional bets on price movements, aiming to profit from short‑term volatility without intending to take delivery of the underlying.

The third use is arbitrage. Arbitrageurs exploit price differentials between the spot market, futures market, or between futures of different expiries, earning a risk‑free return after accounting for transaction costs and margin requirements.

Comparison of the Three Primary Uses of Futures

UsePrimary ObjectiveTypical ParticipantIllustrative Example
HedgingLock‑in price to manage riskPortfolio manager, exporter, farmerA mutual fund uses NIFTY futures to hedge a long equity portfolio against market decline
SpeculationEarn profit from price movementRetail trader, proprietary deskA trader buys NIFTY futures expecting the index to rise over the next week
ArbitrageCapture price inefficiencyArbitrageur, market makerCash‑and‑carry arbitrage between spot NIFTY and its futures when futures trade above fair value

Hedging with Futures

Hedging involves taking a position in a futures contract that offsets the price risk of an existing exposure. For example, an Indian exporter expecting to receive USD in three months can sell USD‑INR futures to lock the rupee value of that receipt.

The effectiveness of a hedge depends on the correlation between the spot and futures price, the contract size, and the timing of the hedge relative to the exposure. SEBI requires that margin be maintained on a daily basis, so the hedger must have sufficient liquid resources to meet potential margin calls.

In the exam, you will often be asked to identify the correct hedge ratio or to decide whether a futures contract is appropriate for a given exposure. Remember that a perfect hedge eliminates price risk but does not eliminate basis risk, which is the difference between the spot and futures price at expiry.

Formula: Futures Profit/Loss Payoff
(FTF0)×Q(F_T - F_0) \times Q

Where:

F_T= Futures price at expiry (₹ per unit)
F_0= Futures price at entry (₹ per unit)
Q= Contract size (number of units, e.g., shares per lot)

Worked Example

Given: F_0 = 12,000 ₹, F_T = 12,500 ₹, Q = 75 shares. Step 1: Difference = 12,500 - 12,000 = 500 ₹ Step 2: Payoff = 500 × 75 = 37,500 ₹ Verification: (12,500 - 12,000) \times 75 = 37,500.

Example: Hedging Example – Indian Exporter

Scenario

An exporter expects to receive USD 100,000 in 90 days. The current USD‑INR spot is 82.50 and the 3‑month USD‑INR futures price is 83.00. The exporter wants to lock the rupee value of the receipt.

Solution

The exporter sells USD‑INR futures for USD 100,000 at 83.00. If at expiry the spot is 84.00, the exporter receives 100,000 × 84.00 = 8,400,000 ₹ in the spot market but incurs a loss on the futures: (83.00 - 84.00) × 100,000 = -100,000 ₹. Net rupee receipt = 8,400,000 - 100,000 = 8,300,000 ₹, which is the same as the locked rate of 83.00. If the spot falls to 81.00, the futures profit offsets the lower spot, again delivering roughly 8,300,000 ₹.

Conclusion

The futures position neutralises the currency risk, illustrating why hedging is a primary use of futures for Indian corporates.

Speculation Using Futures

Speculators aim to profit from anticipated price movements without any intention of taking delivery. Because futures require only a margin deposit (typically 10‑15% of contract value), they provide high leverage, magnifying both gains and losses.

In India, retail investors can trade equity‑index futures through their demat account, but they must comply with SEBI’s position limits and margin maintenance rules. The exam frequently tests knowledge of margin calculations and the impact of leverage on return volatility.

A common trap is to assume that a speculative profit equals the price change multiplied by the contract size; forgetting the effect of daily mark‑to‑market and margin calls can lead to incorrect answer choices.

⚠️Exam Trap – Ignoring Margin Calls

Many candidates calculate speculative profit using only the price difference, overlooking that a margin shortfall forces a cash infusion. The correct answer must reflect both price movement and the need to meet daily margin requirements.

Arbitrage Opportunities

Arbitrage exploits price inconsistencies between related markets. In the Indian context, a cash‑and‑carry arbitrage might involve buying the underlying stock, selling the corresponding futures, and holding the position until expiry, locking in a risk‑free return after accounting for financing costs and transaction fees.

Regulatory rules require that arbitrageurs maintain sufficient margin and adhere to the "no‑position‑limit" exemption for bona‑fide arbitrage. The NISM exam may present a scenario where the futures price is higher than the fair value calculated using the cost‑of‑carry model; you must identify the arbitrage strategy and compute the net profit.

Remember that arbitrage profits are generally modest, and the key to answering exam questions is to recognise the direction of the trade (long spot, short futures or vice‑versa) and to include financing cost in the calculation.

Typical Allocation of Futures Usage by Market Participants (Indicative)

Hedging60(60%)
Speculation30(30%)
Arbitrage10(10%)

Regulatory & Practical Aspects in India

SEBI mandates that all futures contracts be cleared through a central clearing house, which guarantees settlement and reduces counter‑party risk. Participants must maintain the initial margin (set by the exchange) and a variation margin that reflects daily price changes.

Margin rates differ across asset classes; equity‑index futures typically require a lower margin than commodity futures because of higher liquidity. The exchange publishes daily margin updates, and brokers must convey these to clients.

For the exam, be aware of the difference between "initial margin" (the amount posted at trade entry) and "maintenance margin" (the minimum balance that must be kept). Failure to meet the maintenance margin triggers a margin call, and the position may be liquidated by the clearing house.

Example: Speculative Trade – NIFTY Futures

Scenario

A retail trader expects the NIFTY index to rise from 18,000 to 18,500 within a week. The 1‑week NIFTY futures price is 18,050 and the contract size is 75 shares. The initial margin required is 12% of the contract value.

Solution

Contract value = 18,050 × 75 = 1,353,750 ₹. Initial margin = 12% × 1,353,750 = 162,450 ₹. If the index reaches 18,500, futures price approximates 18,500. Profit = (18,500 - 18,050) × 75 = 450 × 75 = 33,750 ₹. Return on margin = 33,750 ÷ 162,450 ≈ 20.8%. The trader must also ensure that daily price swings do not breach the maintenance margin, otherwise a margin call would be triggered.

Conclusion

The example demonstrates how leverage amplifies returns, a key point for NISM questions on speculative use of futures.

ℹ️Margin Call Reminder

Never assume a futures position stays open without additional cash. The exam often tests your understanding of maintenance margin and the consequences of a margin shortfall.

Exam Preparation Tips

Memorise the three core uses – hedging, speculation and arbitrage – and associate each with a typical Indian market participant. This mapping helps you eliminate wrong answer choices quickly.

Practice the payoff formula (F_T - F_0) × Q and be comfortable substituting contract size, as many scenario questions require a numeric profit or loss calculation.

Finally, always read the question stem for clues about margin requirements, SEBI limits or the time horizon. These details often decide whether the correct answer relates to hedging effectiveness, speculative leverage or arbitrage feasibility.

Exam Takeaways

  • Futures serve three primary purposes – hedging, speculation and arbitrage – each linked to distinct participant types.
  • Hedging locks in price risk; effectiveness depends on basis risk and proper hedge ratio.
  • Speculators use leverage; profit = (F_T - F_0) × contract size, but must monitor initial and maintenance margins.
  • Arbitrage exploits price differentials; cash‑and‑carry involves long spot and short futures positions.
  • SEBI requires daily mark‑to‑market, initial margin, and maintenance margin; failure triggers a margin call.
  • The payoff formula (F_T - F_0) × Q is essential for all profit‑loss calculations in exam scenarios.
  • Remember that margin requirements differ across asset classes; equity‑index futures have lower margins than commodity futures.
  • Use the 60‑30‑10 rule (hedging‑speculation‑arbitrage) as a quick mental check for usage‑share questions.

Practice Questions

8 questions on Uses of futures

1

What are the three primary purposes for which futures contracts are used in Indian markets?

2

Which formula correctly represents the profit or loss payoff of a futures contract?

3

A NIFTY futures contract is entered at F_0 = 12,000 ₹ and expires at F_T = 12,500 ₹. The contract size is 75 shares. What is the payoff from this contract?

4

Which type of market participant is most commonly associated with the hedging use of futures?

5

An Indian exporter sells USD‑INR futures for USD 100,000 at a futures price of 83.00. At expiry the spot rate is 84.00. What is the net rupee amount the exporter receives after accounting for the futures position?

6

In the speculative NIFTY futures example, the trader’s profit is 33,750 ₹ and the initial margin required is 162,450 ₹. What is the approximate return on margin?

7

Which statement about margin requirements for futures contracts is correct under SEBI regulations?

8

In a cash‑and‑carry arbitrage where the futures price is higher than the fair value, which set of positions should the arbitrageur take?

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