3.2

Futures contracts

Futures contracts are standardized, exchange‑traded agreements to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price on a future date. They are a cornerstone of the equity derivatives market in India and feature heavily in the NISM Series VIII exam. Understanding futures helps candidates answer questions on pricing, settlement, margin, and regulatory requirements.

Learning Objectives

  • 1Define a futures contract and differentiate it from a forward contract.
  • 2Identify key contract specifications such as lot size, tick size, and expiry.
  • 3Explain the cost‑of‑carry model used to price futures.
  • 4Describe margin, mark‑to‑market, and settlement mechanisms as per SEBI regulations.

What is a Futures Contract?

A futures contract is a legally binding agreement, traded on a recognized exchange, to buy or sell a specified quantity of an underlying asset at a fixed price on a predetermined future date.

Unlike forwards, futures are standardized – the exchange defines the contract size, tick size, expiry cycle and the settlement method. This standardisation ensures high liquidity and enables participants to enter or exit positions with ease.

For the NISM exam, remember that futures are exchange‑traded and marked‑to‑market daily. Questions often test whether you can identify these traits when presented with a scenario.

  • Exchange‑traded → clearing house guarantees performance.
  • Standardized → no need for individual negotiation.

Key Features of Futures

Futures contracts possess several distinctive features: a fixed contract size (e.g., 75 NIFTY shares per lot), a minimum price movement called tick size, and a set of expiry dates (typically the last Thursday of the contract month).

Another hallmark is the daily settlement process, also known as mark‑to‑market. At the end of each trading day, gains and losses are realized, and the trader’s margin account is adjusted accordingly.

Exam‑wise, you will often be asked to calculate the amount of variation margin required or to identify the correct expiry cycle for a given index future.

  • Standardized contract size simplifies price quoting.
  • Daily settlement reduces counter‑party risk.
ℹ️Exam Trap – Futures vs. Forwards Settlement

Students frequently confuse the settlement of futures (daily cash‑flow) with that of forwards (single cash‑flow at maturity). Remember: futures are settled every day, while forwards settle only once at expiry.

Contract Specification

Each futures contract is defined by a set of specifications published by the exchange. The most important elements are:

Lot size – the number of units of the underlying per contract (e.g., 75 shares for NIFTY). Tick size – the smallest price increment (e.g., ₹0.05 for NIFTY). Tick value – monetary value of one tick (lot size × tick size).

Initial margin – the collateral required to open a position, usually a percentage of the contract value. Maintenance margin – the minimum balance that must be maintained; falling below triggers a margin call.

  • All specifications are publicly available on NSE/BSE websites.
  • Understanding these numbers is essential for margin‑related calculations in the exam.

Comparison of Futures and Forwards – Core Attributes

AttributeFuturesForwards
Trading VenueExchange (NSE/BSE)OTC (bilateral)
StandardisationHighly standardizedCustomised per agreement
SettlementDaily mark‑to‑market (cash)Single settlement at maturity
Counter‑party RiskClearing house guaranteesHigher – depends on counterparties
RegulationSEBI‑regulated, mandatory reportingRegulated but less transparent

Pricing of Futures

The theoretical price of a futures contract is derived from the cost‑of‑carry model. The model adds the financing cost, storage cost, and subtracts any convenience yield earned on the underlying asset.

In the Indian context, the risk‑free rate is typically the yield on government securities, while storage cost applies mainly to commodity futures. For equity index futures, storage cost is negligible, but the model still holds.

Exam questions may present spot price, risk‑free rate, storage cost, and convenience yield, asking you to compute the fair futures price using the continuous‑compounding formula.

Formula: Cost‑of‑Carry Futures Pricing Model (continuous compounding)
F=S×e(r+ud)TF = S \times e^{(r + u - d)\,T}

Where:

F= Theoretical futures price in rupees
S= Current spot price of the underlying in rupees
r= Risk‑free interest rate (annual, expressed as a decimal)
u= Annual storage cost rate (decimal). Zero for equity indices.
d= Annual convenience yield (decimal).
T= Time to expiry in years (e.g., 0.5 for six months)

Worked Example

Given S = 10,000 ₹, r = 5% (0.05), u = 2% (0.02), d = 1% (0.01), T = 0.5 years: Step 1: Compute exponent = (0.05 + 0.02 - 0.01) × 0.5 = 0.06 × 0.5 = 0.03. Step 2: e^{0.03} ≈ 1.030454. Step 3: F = 10,000 × 1.030454 ≈ 10,304.54 ₹. Verification: 10,000 × e^{(0.05+0.02-0.01)×0.5} = 10,304.54 ₹.

Mark‑to‑Market and Margin Mechanics

At the close of each trading day, the exchange calculates the settlement price of the futures contract. The difference between this price and the previous day's settlement price is the variation margin, which is credited or debited to the trader’s margin account.

If the account balance falls below the maintenance margin, the trader receives a margin call and must deposit additional funds (known as the additional margin) to restore the balance to the initial margin level.

This daily cash‑flow mechanism limits credit exposure and is a frequent topic in NISM questions that ask you to compute the net cash flow after a series of price movements.

  • Initial margin ≠ premium paid – futures require no upfront premium.
  • Variation margin can be positive or negative each day.
⚠️Common Misunderstanding – Margin vs. Premium

Do not treat the initial margin as a premium like in options. Futures involve posting collateral, not paying a premium for the right to trade.

Physical vs. Cash Settlement

Indian equity index futures (e.g., NIFTY, BANKNIFTY) are settled in cash, meaning the final settlement amount is the cash difference between the futures price and the underlying index value on expiry.

Commodity futures, such as gold or crude oil, may be settled physically, where the actual commodity is delivered against the contract. The exchange specifies the delivery point, quality standards, and notice periods.

Exam takers should note the settlement type indicated in the contract specifications, as it determines whether a delivery obligation exists and influences hedging strategies.

  • Cash‑settled → no physical delivery, easier for equity index hedgers.
  • Physically settled → logistics and storage considerations matter.

Regulatory Framework – SEBI and Exchanges

SEBI (Securities and Exchange Board of India) regulates all futures trading in the country. Key regulations include mandatory registration of brokers, real‑time reporting of positions, and strict margin norms set by the exchange and the clearing corporation.

The National Stock Exchange (NSE) and Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) act as the primary platforms, while the Clearing Corporation of India Ltd (CCIL) guarantees settlement and manages the default fund.

For the exam, remember that SEBI’s role is supervisory, whereas the exchange defines contract specifications and the clearing house handles daily settlement and margin enforcement.

  • SEBI → overall market integrity and investor protection.
  • Exchange → contract design, trading, and price discovery.
  • Clearing corporation → settlement guarantee.

Typical Initial Margin Requirements for Major Index Futures (NSE)

Practical Example – Hedging an Equity Portfolio

Example: Using NIFTY Futures to Hedge a Portfolio

Scenario

Ramesh holds a portfolio of Indian equities worth ₹5,00,000. He expects a short‑term market correction and wants to hedge his exposure using NIFTY futures. The current NIFTY spot is 18,000 and the futures price for the nearest expiry is 18,050. One NIFTY futures contract represents a lot of 75 shares.

Solution

Step 1: Determine the portfolio's beta (assume β = 1.2). Hedge ratio = β × (Portfolio value / (Futures price × lot size)). Step 2: Calculate contract value = 18,050 × 75 = ₹13,53,750. Step 3: Hedge ratio = 1.2 × (5,00,000 / 13,53,750) ≈ 0.44 contracts. Round to the nearest whole contract → 1 contract (short). Step 4: Ramesh sells 1 NIFTY futures contract and posts the required initial margin (≈12% of ₹13,53,750 = ₹1,62,450). Step 5: If the market falls and the futures price drops to 17,800, the variation margin credited = (18,050 – 17,800) × 75 = ₹18,750, offsetting the loss in the equity portfolio. Step 6: At expiry, the futures settles in cash, and the net cash flow from the futures position offsets the portfolio loss, achieving the hedge. Conclusion: By using a single NIFTY futures contract, Ramesh effectively reduces his market risk, and the margin requirement is clearly defined by SEBI‑mandated percentages.

Conclusion

The example illustrates how contract specifications, margin, and mark‑to‑market work together in a real‑world hedging scenario, a frequent question type in the NISM exam.

Common Mistakes in Futures Questions

Students often err by mixing up the concepts of spot price and futures price. Remember that the futures price incorporates the cost of carry, while the spot price does not.

Another frequent mistake is ignoring the daily settlement effect when calculating profit or loss. The correct approach is to compute the variation margin for each day rather than a single end‑of‑period payoff.

Finally, many overlook the distinction between cash‑settled and physically settled contracts, leading to incorrect answers about delivery obligations or cash flows at expiry.

  • Check whether the question specifies cash or physical settlement.
  • Always apply the cost‑of‑carry formula when asked for a theoretical futures price.
  • Remember margin is collateral, not a premium.

Exam Takeaways

  • Futures are exchange‑traded, standardized contracts with daily mark‑to‑market settlement.
  • Key specifications include lot size, tick size, expiry cycle, and margin requirements.
  • The cost‑of‑carry model (F = S × e^{(r+u‑d)T}) provides the theoretical futures price; use continuous compounding as per the syllabus.
  • Initial margin is a collateral percentage, not a premium; variation margin is settled daily.
  • Physical settlement involves delivery of the underlying asset, whereas cash settlement settles the price difference in cash.
  • SEBI oversees the market, the exchange defines contract terms, and the clearing corporation guarantees settlement.
  • Common exam traps: confusing futures with forwards, ignoring daily settlement, and mixing up margin with premium.

Practice Questions

8 questions on Futures contracts

1

A futures contract is best described as a legally binding agreement that is

2

In futures contract specifications, the term "tick size" refers to

3

Which statement correctly distinguishes futures from forwards?

4

Using the cost‑of‑carry model, calculate the theoretical futures price when S=₹10,000, r=5% (0.05), u=2% (0.02), d=1% (0.01) and T=0.5 years.

5

If a NIFTY futures contract has a value of ₹13,53,750, what is the initial margin amount assuming the standard 12% requirement?

6

Ramesh wants to hedge a ₹5,00,000 portfolio using NIFTY futures (spot 18,000, futures 18,050, lot size 75) with a beta of 1.2. How many contracts should he sell?

7

If the futures price falls from 18,050 to 17,800, what is the variation margin credited to the trader (lot size 75)?

8

Which entity guarantees settlement of futures contracts and manages the default fund in India?

Related topics